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In recent years, with the rapid development of the domestic economy and the increase in the export volume of the heavy machinery industry, the development of the reducer industry as an important basic industry has been extremely rapid. Due to the force from the downstream market, reducer companies are now expanding their production and sales scales, and their processing capacity and technology levels have continued to increase. The industry outlook for the future reducer market will be excellent. According to the increase in the sales and retention of industrial robots, it is estimated that by 2025, the demand for industrial robot reducers will reach 1.05 million units, and the demand scale will be around 7.7 billion yuan.
As the technical barrier, the key components of the industrial robot, the reducer can be divided into five categories according to the structure: Harmonic gear reducer, Cycloid reducer, RV reducer, precision reducer and filter gear reducer. Among them, RV reducer and harmonic reducer are the most popular precision reducers for industrial robots. RV reducers have gradually replaced harmonic reducers in advanced robot transmissions.
Looking around the world, the robot reducer market is monopolized by Japanese companies, and other countries have limited strength. According to statistics, Japan’s three Japanese companies, Sumitomo, Nabtesco, and Hamernako, occupy more than 80% of the global market share and are in an absolute monopoly position.
At present, 75% of the world's precision reducer market is occupied by Hamernako and Nabtesco in Japan. Among them, Nabtesco produces RV reducer, which accounts for about 60% of the market. Hamernaco produces a harmonic reducer. , about 15% share. Japan's speed reducer technology has always been ahead of the game. It has dominated the industry for many years. Even the famous international "four major families of industrial robots" such as ABB, Fanuc, Yaskawa, and Kuka have been using Japan's Nabtesco and Harmonic Drive. The two companies reducer.
On the other hand, although China's robot reducer manufacturers have increased their investment in recent years, there is still some distance from mass production. The future may depend on the domestic robot companies to drive the market monopoly.
The robot industry is currently the most watched industry. Needless to say, space for development. Precision reducer is the most important functional component in industrial robots and is a crucial application link in the robot industry chain.
According to the prediction of the national authoritative department, from 2015 to 2018, the new demand for speed reducers by industrial robots in China will reach 236,000 sets, 296,000 sets, 369,000 sets and 462,000 sets in turn. In addition, for industrial robots held in the domestic market, which are calculated for a typical service life of 8 to 10 years, the market demand for precision speed reducers in the country will exceed 1 million units in the future, and the annual market sales will exceed 10 billion yuan.
The author believes that, as a whole, the prospects for the robotic reducer industry are promising, and the potential demand is huge. To this end, domestic manufacturers are increasing their efforts in the area of ​​distribution, including listed companies such as Qinchuan Machine Tool Co., Ltd., Shuanghuan Transmission Co., Ltd., and Han's Laser Co., Ltd., and are catching up with the localization of reducers.
As an indispensable transmission equipment in modernization, the speed reducer is widely used in various fields of the national economy. For the robot industry, the speed reducer is a crucial application link in the industrial chain. Thanks to the rise of the robot industry, the development of the robot reducer industry is expected to enter the fast lane. In the future, driven by industrial robots, China's robotic reducer industry is expected to usher in rapid development and market demand will continue to be released. However, for domestic companies, the development of localization is still a long way to go. In the future, it can be properly tilted to a harmonic reducer to achieve a curve overtaking.
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Reducer industry release demand increase signal
After experiencing the long-term development and development of the market, it gradually evolved into a dominant force covering the Chinese market. The speed reducer has shown its vitality to shock the world. As the most important functional component of industrial robots, speed reducers account for 33% to 38% of the entire robot manufacturing cost. At present, the field of industrial robots is in the ascendant, sales are steadily rising, and the potential demand for speed reducers is rising year by year.