Fan industry shows signs of slowing down in inertial growth market

The reporter learned from the sixth general meeting of the China General Machinery Industry Association's Fan Branch (referred to as the “fan branch”) held in Dalian from July 5th to 8th that the fan industry was affected by the national macro-control and other factors, and the market for the first 5 months of this year The ordering situation showed a downward trend. However, because the fan industry is responsible for supporting the national key projects such as petroleum, chemical, coal, metallurgy, electric power, mining, textile, environmental protection, and scientific research, it still maintains momentum of inertial growth.
According to statistics from the wind turbine branch, from January to May of this year, the industry’s total industrial output value (current price) was 977386.60 million yuan, an increase of 11.45% year-on-year; the industrial sales output value was 851,745,800,000 yuan, an increase of 11%; and the export delivery value was 239,900,000 yuan. Yuan, a year-on-year growth of 11%; completed industrial added value of 306,445,800 yuan, an increase of 20%; realized main business income of 834,260,500 yuan, an increase of 15.69%; total profit of 536,137,000 yuan, an increase of 9%; cumulative order quantity 21,816,800,000 Yuan, a year-on-year drop of 2%.
It is not difficult to see from the above statistical data analysis that the economic operation of the fan industry in the first five months of the year has the following characteristics:
First, the industry continues to maintain inertia growth. Affected by the rapid development of the fan industry in previous years, in the first five months of this year, the total output value of key industry enterprises in the wind turbine industry still increased by 11% over the same period of last year. This is related to the fact that the fan is a general-purpose product with a wide range of products. At the same time, coupled with the steady and rapid development of the Chinese economy in recent years, the fan industry has shown an inertial growth trend. In addition, in the first five months of this year, many wind turbine manufacturers' contracts were transferred from the previous year to the production of the first half of this year, which is the reason why the entire industry grew from January to May.
In spite of this, the overall development of the industry is still unbalanced. For example, the Shengu, Shaanxi Drum, and long drums all maintained a moderate growth from January to May, with the highest growth rate reaching 68.8%. Some companies still show obvious signs of decline compared with the same period of last year. .
The second is the increase in the inventory of finished products and the decrease in the rate of production and sales. From January to May, key enterprises in the wind turbine industry produced 3.556628 million yuan of finished products, a year-on-year increase of 59.4%, and the industry-wide sales ratio was only 87.1%. The main reasons are: First, in order to reduce the pressure on centralized delivery of the company in the second half of the year, enterprises put into production in order to balance production. The finished products are not delivered to the users. Second, some users do not pay the goods according to the contract, resulting in the production of The finished product could not be shipped; Third, due to the impact of the country’s macroeconomic policies, individual projects were discontinued, causing product returns. With the approach of product delivery in the second half of the year, the larger finished product inventory produced by the company will be significantly eased.
Third, the market has seen a declining trend. Judging from the ordering situation of key enterprises, the first five months of this year showed a slight decline from the same period of last year, reflecting the gradual impact of the national macroeconomic policy adjustment on the fan industry. Among them, the impact on medium-sized companies is more obvious, and most of the medium-sized companies in the industry have significantly reduced their orders, and the orders of individual companies are only 20% of the same period of last year. The orders of large wind turbine manufacturers in Shengu, Shaanxi Drum, Shanggu, and Zhongtong industries were basically the same as those in the same period of last year. The order volume of individual companies did not decrease, but also increased slightly.
Fourth, the product competitiveness needs to be further improved. In the first five months of this year, the output value of new products of key enterprises in the wind turbine industry decreased by 12.17%, which is a significant contrast to the 11.45% increase in output value. This reflects the urgent need to enhance the technological innovation capability of the fan industry products.
In addition, from the statistical data point of view, although the export delivery value of key industry enterprises increased by 20% compared with the same period of last year, but mainly due to the lower base of individual companies in the same period last year, it only highlights the high growth this year. In general, the entire industry has a low level of exports, and exports account for only 2.4% of the total output value. It is worth noting that, as a result of restructuring, individual key enterprises have been severely affected by their business operations, and the company’s indicators have fallen significantly. In the second half of the year, effective measures must be taken to reverse this situation.
From the historical analysis, the fan's export products are mainly medium and small fan and fan accessories. The export of centrifugal blowers and Roots blowers and centrifugal compressors are mainly industrial underdeveloped countries such as India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, North Korea, Iran, Sudan, Albania and Mongolia. For this reason, it can be considered that the export products of wind turbines should be mainly concentrated in the field of small and medium-sized wind turbines in the next few years.
The fifth is the oversupply of low-end products, and the demand for special-purpose fans has increased. Fan products are mainly divided into two categories: one is a medium-sized and small-sized ventilator with a wide range of mass; the other is a technology-intensive turbo compressor, a centrifugal fan, and a Roots blower. For large and medium-sized small and medium ventilators, users have the largest demand and the largest number of manufacturers. In general, although the demand for this type of fan will continue to increase significantly in the next few years, it will still be oversupply; turbine compressors, centrifugal fans, Roots blowers and other products used as major equipment sets. With the enlargement of the device, the capacity requirements of the product are also increasing; for special-purpose fans, such as anti-corrosion fans, high-temperature fans, corrosion-resistant fans, and explosion-proof fans, these fans are mainly made of special materials. For example, the demand for stainless steel fans, glass steel fans, plastic fans, metal-lined plastic fans, cast aluminum impeller fans, forged aluminum blade axial fans, and titanium fans will increase.
In general, the development of the fan industry in the first five months of this year was in a good state, the entire industry maintained a modest growth, and the economic benefits were also increased. It is expected that the fan industry will continue to maintain this momentum of development in the second half of the year, and the major economic indicators will have a certain improvement. In 2006, the fan industry will continue to be a healthy growth year.

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