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The semiconductor lighting industry is considered to be an important means of transforming the economic development mode, adjusting the industrial structure, driving the development of related industries, and achieving sustainable development. It is also one of the most strategic emerging industries in the 21st century. With the rapid advancement of technology and market applications, the development prospects of the semiconductor lighting industry are extremely broad. First, as the largest development driver for semiconductor lighting, applications in the fields of liquid crystal (LCD) backlighting, lighting, etc. are progressing rapidly and with huge space. At the same time, the development of LED innovation applications is progressing rapidly. With the formation of applications in agriculture, medical care, information intelligence networks, aerospace and other fields, LED will become a pillar industry with a scale of one trillion yuan.
During the 11th Five-Year Plan period, the compound growth rate of China's semiconductor lighting industry reached 35, becoming the fastest growing region in the world. In 2010, the scale of China's semiconductor lighting industry was 120 billion yuan. Although the good development momentum at the end of 2010 did not continue in 2011 as expected in the industry, many companies have not achieved satisfactory business conditions, and even some enterprises have closed down, but it is undeniable. The foundation of China's semiconductor lighting industry is still further consolidated and remains the fastest growing region in the world. In 2011, China's semiconductor lighting industry reached 156 billion yuan. It is estimated that during the 12th Five-Year Plan period, the overall scale of semiconductor lighting industry in China will increase by 30. In 2015, the scale of domestic semiconductor lighting will reach 500 billion yuan.
First, the trend and trend of LED packaging industry As the middle reaches of the semiconductor lighting industry chain, the packaging of LED devices plays a leading role in the development of the semiconductor lighting industry, and it also has scale advantages and costs in the division of labor in the global semiconductor lighting industry chain. One of the advantages of the industrial sector.
According to the statistics of Strategies Unlimited, the market size of high-brightness LEDs in 2010 reached $10.8 billion. Although the market demand growth in 2011 failed to meet industry expectations, in terms of sales, although the market size will not increase significantly, the packaging capacity of LED devices will still increase significantly.
In 2011, China's LED packaging industry reached 28.5 billion yuan, an increase of 14 billion from 2010, and the output increased from 133.5 billion in 2010 to 182 billion, an increase of 36. Looking at the global LED packaging industry China is already the most concentrated area of ​​the global packaging industry, and it is also the main ground for the global LED packaging industry. The packaging capabilities of major LED companies in Taiwan, the United States, South Korea, Europe and Japan are all realized in mainland China. At present, there are more than 1,500 packaging enterprises in China, mainly focusing on small-scale enterprises in the low-end market. There are not many enterprises that have scale effect and international competitiveness.
With the continuous promotion of applications such as backlighting and lighting, the demand for LEDs in the market is constantly changing. In terms of the package structure of the LED device, the current main package forms include a direct-insertion package (LampLED), a surface mount package (SMDLED), a power package (HighPowerLED), and a chip-on-board package (COB). In terms of current and future market demand, backlight and lighting will become the most important applications, and the demand for LED devices will be dominated by SMDLED, HighPowerLED and COB. As far as the quality of LED devices is concerned, the requirements for LED reliability, light efficiency, and lifetime are getting higher and higher. Small-scale and low-level packaging companies can no longer meet the quality requirements of LEDs in application fields. Domestic LED packaging capacity is presented. With the trend of concentration, the production capacity and automation level of leading companies in the domestic packaging field are also rapidly increasing.
It is expected that China's LED packaging will maintain a high growth rate in the next few years. In 2015, China's LED packaging output value will reach 70 billion yuan, and the compound growth rate of the entire package will be around 40.
II. Analysis of Demand Characteristics of LED Packaging Equipment With the gradual expansion of the scale of China's packaging leading enterprises, and the large number of packaging companies listed on the stock exchange, the industrial concentration of LED packaging, the scale of individual enterprises and the degree of automation will appear larger. Upgrade. With the change of the LED packaging industry, the demand for LED packaging equipment has also appeared some prominent features.
First of all, China's demand for LED packaging equipment, especially automation equipment, has rapidly increased, making it the region with the largest demand for packaging equipment in the world. From the sales area of ​​the world's largest LED packaging equipment manufacturers, in 2009, 2010 and 2011, ASM's turnover in the mainland has accounted for 33.6, 37.6 and 44.8 of its total turnover, and the growth rate is also the fastest. of. From one aspect, it illustrates the status and development potential of the mainland in the LED packaging equipment market.
Second, LED equipment has always been a weak link in the development of China's semiconductor lighting industry, and LED packaging equipment is no exception. As of the end of 2010, there are nearly 130 LED packaging equipment manufacturers in the world, of which about 100 have been laid in the country, accounting for 76.9 percent of the world. In the domestic market, ASM has a market share of 28.7, and manufacturers from Japan and Taiwan account for 25.8 and respectively. 15.2, European and American manufacturers accounted for 10.3; domestic equipment manufacturers accounted for 20.2011 domestically produced equipment has a relatively obvious growth, but there are still about 70 equipment, mainly relying on imports of automation equipment. LED packaging main production equipment has solid crystal machine, wire bonding machine, dispensing machine, sealing machine, spectrophotometer and automatic tape machine. Judging from the current situation of domestic equipment, the sealing machine has been successfully localized and has excellent performance, which can meet the industrial requirements. The solid crystal machine, wire bonding machine, dispensing machine, spectroscopic color separation machine and automatic tape dispenser are also mainly imported, but in recent years, the level of domestic equipment is also constantly improving, especially the solid crystal machine and welding. The localization rate of equipment such as line machines has increased rapidly, and a number of leading companies have emerged. For example, Shenzhen Cuitao Automation Equipment Co., Ltd. has sold 600 units of solid crystal machines in 2011, and has already occupied about 18 domestic markets. , accounting for nearly 30% of the number of domestic solid crystal machines.
Third, the high degree of automation, speed, high precision, the entire solution of the entire production line has become a hot spot for LED packaging equipment demand. With the improvement of the quality requirements of LED products and the rapid increase of domestic labor costs, the demand for equipment is characterized by faster speed, higher precision, better stability and higher automation level. What is more remarkable is that with the enhancement of the scale of packaging enterprises and research and development capabilities, the R&D and design capabilities of LED devices are also rapidly increasing. Specific products require equipment with specific functions, and full-line equipment for LED packaging enterprises needs to be solved. The demand for solutions and customized equipment has increased significantly.
Third, the LED packaging equipment competition pattern The equipment industry has always been the core and high-value industry links of various industries, and is also a typical technology, capital-intensive industry, the competition is mainly carried out in a small number of enterprises. From the global value chain of the packaging equipment industry, developed countries mainly intercept high-value-added links, such as core raw material manufacturing technology, motion control and visual image processing technology, process management, intellectual property protection and brand management, such as high-end products in the industry. It is mainly supplied by companies such as the United States, Japan and Switzerland, which are the most advanced packaging equipment manufacturing technologies in the world. At present, China still has a large gap with foreign companies in the R&D and manufacturing of packaging core equipment. The equipment supplied mainly concentrates on solid crystal machines, low-precision wire bonding machines and equipments with low technical content in the downstream process. There are only a handful of Chinese companies with high-precision wire bonding machines, and the entire LED packaging equipment industry is climbing from the bottom of the industrial value chain.
As of the end of 2010, there are more than 130 LED packaging equipment manufacturers in the world, including about 100 in China, with a global market share of 76.9, achieving a market share of 20 LED packaging equipment market, and the product line is mainly concentrated in the low-end equipment market. . The industry concentration in the high-end product field is relatively high, and the foreign companies have strong technical strength and are in a monopoly position in certain fields. This fully illustrates the current market demand for LED packaging equipment industry in China, the small scale of the enterprise, the incomplete product line and the low level of technology.
However, it is worth noting that domestic equipment started late, but it has developed rapidly. Especially in recent years, with the improvement of the scale and level of China's LED packaging industry, China's LED packaging equipment industry is progressing rapidly, and the cost-effective domestic equipment has occupied a place in the packaging equipment market. The technology, equipment, products and brands of domestic leading enterprises have already possessed certain global competitiveness. For example, Shenzhen Cuitao Automation is in the field of wire bonding machines, solid crystal machines, and dispensers, and Dazu Optoelectronics is in the field of solid crystal machines. Photoelectricity in the field of photoelectric detection equipment.
Before 2008, China's LED automatic packaging production equipment was basically monopolized by European, Japanese and Taiwanese manufacturers. By 2010, the country's LED automation equipment has accounted for about 20 market share. In 2011, the domestic equipment market share exceeded 30, China. LED packaging equipment is entering the golden age. At the same time, with the rapid growth of domestic demand, a number of domestic enterprises have already passed through the difficult period of R&D investment. It is recommended to improve the new technology and new product R&D innovation system, and launch a series of internationally-oriented series of equipment, such as Cui Tao Automation. , Dazu Laser, Hangzhou Yuanfang, Hangzhou Zhongwei, etc.
Fourth, LED packaging equipment market demand outlook Although the overall situation of semiconductor lighting and expectations have a big gap, the market growth of equipment in 2011 is also the lowest year in recent years, but from the overall development of the semiconductor lighting industry, semiconductor The trend of rapid development of lighting has not changed, the trend of China's global LED packaging base has not changed, the scale of LED packaging industry and the trend of automation have not changed. The market demand for LED packaging equipment in China will maintain a high growth rate in the next few years. Before 2015, the compound growth rate of China's LED equipment demand will be around 24. Thanks to the price and service advantages of domestically produced equipment, it is more important that with the continuous improvement of the level of equipment manufacturing in China, domestically produced equipment will gradually occupy the main position in the demand for domestic LED equipment, and equipment manufacturers that are rapidly developing in China will also be The LED equipment market is in a competitive position.
Considering the factors of China's LED packaging product composition, automation level, capacity increase, equipment update and other factors, according to the international semiconductor lighting engineering research and development and industry alliance, the market demand for LED packaging equipment in China will reach 17.2 billion yuan in 2015. ,as shown in picture 2.
In the future competition of LED packaging equipment, according to the development experience of the international equipment industry, the domestic industrial concentration will be further enhanced, and key core equipment such as solid crystal, wire bonding, and spectroscopic color separation will be occupied by a small number of enterprises. Part of the market share situation. R&D capability and product improvement capability will become the most important competitive factors for LED packaging equipment enterprises. Only companies with strong R&D capabilities can have advantages in future competition, such as Cuitao Automation, Dazu Optoelectronics, Zhongwei Optoelectronics, etc. A higher proportion of companies are most likely to become the dominant producer of LED equipment in China.