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Substantial progress was made before the transfer of controlling shares in Shanghai Diesel Technology Co., Ltd. (600841). Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd., controlling shareholder of Shanghai Caichai Co., Ltd., and Shanghai Automotive Co., Ltd. have signed a letter of intent for share transfer. As a result, SAIC Motor or its designated party will hold 50.32% of the shares in Shanghai Shangchai.
Industry analysts pointed out that although the above-mentioned share transfer is still in the letter of intent stage, the specific matters still need to be further agreed between the parties, but SAIC Group ultimately has no suspense; the Shangchai Co., Ltd. will become an important part of the SAIC Group's layout in the field of commercial vehicles, it is possible With all efforts to develop products related to the automotive industry, the proportion of sales to the automotive industry will also increase.
SAIC reduces investment pressure
Analysts in the industry believe that SAIC Motor’s view should include large diesel engines from Shangchai’s shares and environmentally-friendly engines including natural gas. However, the convergence of the industrial chain of the two companies still needs some adjustment.
Guoxin Junan industry researcher Zhang Xin believes that in the next few years, commercial vehicles will be a key part of the development of SAIC Motor; and holding shares in Shanghai Diesel will enable it to gradually resolve the supply of critical total diesel engines.
However, he also pointed out that due to the fact that Shanghai Diesel Engine Co., Ltd. is currently dominated by medium-power diesel engines, it lacks a diesel engine with a displacement of less than 3 liters and there is still a lack of diesel engines with a displacement of 12 liters and above. Therefore, it still needs to pass certain The additional investment will eventually form a full range of diesel engine manufacturing capabilities.
At present, the leading products of Shanghai Diesel Engine Co., Ltd. are mainly focused on supporting products that require high torque (commonly known as “outputâ€) for construction machinery, and there has been no significant improvement for products that require high speed performance such as automobiles. The related test work for the car is not fully carried out.
Industry analysts believe that the main reason for this status is that construction machinery and other products require the diesel engine to focus on torque; and automotive and other products on the diesel engine's requirements are focused on speed. Therefore, even if the diesel engine has the same bore size and displacement, the concept of design and match is very different, and even it cannot be fully balanced.
However, for the SAIC Group, according to the current equity transfer pricing model determined, it needs to pay 950 million -1.2 billion. However, if the same funds are used, it will not be possible to build a large-scale and influential diesel engine company such as Shangchai Co., Ltd. Therefore, if Shanghai Electric can successfully transfer the shares held by Shanghai Diesel, it will greatly reduce the investment of SAIC Motor to develop diesel engines for commercial vehicles. Stress and shorten the development process.
Shangchai receives stable customers
Industry experts believe that after SAIC becomes a major shareholder, Shanghai Shichai Co., Ltd. will have a stable customer. This is the most direct impact of the equity transfer. In the future, Shanghai Shichai Co., Ltd. will become a listed company of Shanghai Automotive Group, and it will become a real auto industry. A close relationship has been formed, which is of great significance for the future application of diesel engines in the diesel field.
Ping An Securities analyst Yu Bing pointed out that Shanghai Diesel Engine Co., Ltd. has a strong engine overall R&D capability, but because it is too lonely in the industry chain, it cannot achieve linkage with downstream industries, leading to a smaller and smaller market.
The semi-annual report shows that from January to June of 2007, the company's engineering machinery and marine market diesel engine sales decreased year-on-year, but the sales of diesel engines for trucks, buses, and power station markets increased compared to the same period of last year, including the sales of electronically controlled Euro III and natural gas engines. Greater growth.
The market trend of commercial vehicles, especially mid- and heavy-duty trucks, determines the market trend of automotive diesel engines. According to the statistics of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the application of diesel engines to commercial vehicles has increased further. For example, in the light truck, pickup, and light passenger markets, the market share of diesel engine products has been rising.
The industry believes that after the change in equity, due to the needs of the SAIC Group, Shanghai Diesel Engine Co., Ltd. will be able to fully develop products related to the automotive industry, and its sales to the automotive industry will also increase. However, in the near future, the leading products of Shangchai’s shares are still mainly construction machinery, trucks, and passenger cars. 